Speculation rather than enterprise? Keynes' beauty contest revisited in theory and experiment - GATE - Macroéconomie, finance et histoire
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2017

Speculation rather than enterprise? Keynes' beauty contest revisited in theory and experiment

Résumé

In Keynes' beauty contest, agents make evaluations reflecting both an expected fundamental value and the conventional value expected to be set by the market. They thus respond to fundamental and coordination motives, respectively, the prevalence of either being set exogenously. Our contribution is twofold. First, we propose a valuation game in which agents strategically choose how to weight each motive. This game emphasises public information leads agents to favour the coordination motive. Second, we test the game through a laboratory experiment. Subjects tend to conform to theoretical predictions, except when fundamental uncertainty is low relative to strategic uncertainty. Abstract In Keynes' beauty contest, agents make evaluations reflecting both an expected fun
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Dates et versions

hal-03468870 , version 1 (09-03-2017)
hal-03468870 , version 2 (06-04-2017)
hal-03468870 , version 3 (01-02-2018)
hal-03468870 , version 4 (23-04-2018)
hal-03468870 , version 5 (23-04-2020)
hal-03468870 , version 6 (07-12-2021)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-03468870 , version 4

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Kene Boun My, Camille Cornand, Rodolphe dos Santos Ferreira. Speculation rather than enterprise? Keynes' beauty contest revisited in theory and experiment. 2017. ⟨hal-03468870v4⟩
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